Are the prices for these going to go down because the Enriched event just finished or are they going to stay at the same price because of scarcity? I know the new OCP box is giving out safe certs so I don't understand why there's so few of them on vend. I just want to know if I should buy know or wait a little bit more for prices to go down to around 10m.
Safe to 7 Body Cert
#1
Posted 16 February 2018 - 07:51 PM
#2
Posted 16 February 2018 - 07:57 PM
#3
Posted 16 February 2018 - 08:06 PM
Because most sellers seem to be better informed that enriched hammer will always come back again and when it does, people will need certs again. OCPs will keep coming which means there will always have new items to refine. Maybe most sellers are now waiting for enriched to come back again so there are only few certs right now which allows remaining sellers to set high prices.
I used to be able to buy some WPE codes outside enriched event, now its quite hard to find. They are probably waiting for enriched event again when people demand KP.
#4
Posted 16 February 2018 - 08:20 PM
Because most sellers seem to be better informed that enriched hammer will always come back again and when it does, people will need certs again. OCPs will keep coming which means there will always have new items to refine. Maybe most sellers are now waiting for enriched to come back again so there are only few certs right now which allows remaining sellers to set high prices.
I used to be able to buy some WPE codes outside enriched event, now its quite hard to find. They are probably waiting for enriched event again when people demand KP.
I didn't think about it that way but I think the fact that the new OCP box doesn't have great items might also have an effect on people selling KP or certs because they don't really need the money to buy that great OCP item right now so they'll just hold onto their items and sell when the price is high or when they need the money.
#5
Posted 16 February 2018 - 08:22 PM
Right now is the time to cash out on all the refine items, and they are waiting for the certs to go down before they restock more.
For the sellers, they are just keeping it to resell when enrich comes again, why sell a body cert for 12-14m when you can sell for 18-20m?
#6
Posted 16 February 2018 - 09:44 PM
#7
Posted 16 February 2018 - 09:55 PM
you will never see body cert 10M ea because..... the 3rd ripple effect of WPE/KP price are on Cert now
#8
Posted 16 February 2018 - 10:01 PM
#9
Posted 16 February 2018 - 11:05 PM
#10
Posted 16 February 2018 - 11:29 PM
manipulation can bend the trend, but eventually supply and demand will trump the bending. right now, I have 400 b. cert but that is not enough to supply 1 day of demand of upgrade event. the supply side is changing... I have a bad feeling ... the 4th ripple effect of rise of WPE price is yet to surface to public...
#11
Posted 17 February 2018 - 01:39 AM
I love ripple effects ... fun rides
#12
Posted 17 February 2018 - 09:48 AM
#13
Posted 17 February 2018 - 09:58 AM
#14
Posted 17 February 2018 - 10:25 AM
Keep in mind Body Certs are pricier because they have more uses: Armor, Garment and Shoes.
No token spamming = fewer solo et runs = less certs circulating the market = higher refined gear prices. Be careful of what you wish for.
I've know of people who barely spend tokens during their ET runs. Newbies I would understand, since the stuff that gives out the certs is dropped at higher floors.
Maxed out visa = less boxes opened. Less people on server = less visa to whip out
I have Mastercard....but that's what Paypal is for!
Actually...We have had so many events+Fire Sales with little time between them...I'm suprised some wallets managed to hold on up 'til now.
Also, Groove Packs are Love, Groove Packs are Life! Make them come back WP. and not just in Firesales!
Edited by Erydanos, 17 February 2018 - 10:28 AM.
#15
Posted 17 February 2018 - 11:05 AM
Eh, if the gear in question is cheap and plentiful I don't see a reason to waste Safe 7s for all of +4 to +7. Take a chance with Suhnmi and try a risky +5 attempt. Maybe even +6 if you're feeling frisky.
#16
Posted 17 February 2018 - 11:55 AM
the market is definitely messed up. i think less people are buying boxes. for vets like me i am use to seeing prices drop a good bit when consumables are in a box. we have certs, x3bm's and BB's in the current box. if supply and demand are correct then the prices for all three of those items should come down. the game is pumping those items into the economy. with prices staying the same or higher it makes me feel like maybe less people are buying the box. also the people buying the boxes are saving them for personal use. its almost like consumption of those items must still be really high and the boxes can't offset the demand.
its crazy seeing people with buy shops for Bloody Branches at 13mil/branch. A bloody branch is not worth 13mil for me at least. its a luxury item that pops a random mvp. it has a high chance of dropping a worthless mvp or angeling/deviling/ghoststring. people must have a lot of excess zeny laying around lol. i wish i could rationalize wasting that much zeny for a .02% chance for a mvp card.
Edited by DarkDan, 17 February 2018 - 05:55 PM.
#17
Posted 17 February 2018 - 05:22 PM
Yup you are right, ppls who get the certs are hoarding them for future use. This is evident from my personal experience, I dont sell the safe certs I gain from OCP and HD boxes since I know I will need them later.
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