Yea, its always like this, only 1 type of new kachua item appeared, also it gives 1 bsb but in the description it said 5x bsb
The rate now is super duper low, they should double check rates, cos compare to last ocp XXX the rates are better, 40 box should atleast recieve like 3~4 kinds of 1% type of new kachua
If you consider all 1% chance items or less as a single item it becomes 5.34%. What I mean by this is just what you were saying, you want ANY 1% item drop (or less in regards to the bloody dress) from your pulls. So there's five 1% items and one .34% item. So add them together and it's 5.34%. So with 40 pulls what would be expected statistical outcome? Well... let's do the math and see.
Received amount = How often it's expected.
0 = 11.13%
1 = 25.12%
2 = 27.64%
3 = 19.75%
4 = 10.31%
5 = 4.19%
Your expectation that a person should get 3-4 is just wrong. That only happens 30.06% of the time. Even if we're generous and add in the 4.19% chance to get 5, we're still only at 34.25%. Which means 65.75% of the time, a person that opens 40 OCP will get 2 or less of those items. 11.13% of the time, that person will get NONE.
You guys really need to understand statistics better if you're going to be spending hundreds of dollars on gambling. Your expectations vs reality of how probability actually works is WAY off.
There was a 25.12% chance of the outcome that this video received which was the second MOST likely outcome. I suppose you could feel they were slightly unlucky because opening 2 would have been a 27.64% but come on. One of those two was the most likely outcome at 52.76%.
If you don't want to learn the math, you can always use a website like this.
Edit* Oh.... I just watched the video again. They pulled two 1%. This was EXACTLY the most expected outcome. Not unlucky at all.
Edited by losveratos, 21 November 2021 - 07:05 PM.