Now, I know that it's a gamble but I just want to find out roughly what's the probability of getting each item. It may not be your bad luck that's burning your money but the super low chance of getting good items thus making it a stupid gamble.
Firstly, is the probability of getting any one item equals to 4%( since there are 25 items ) and constant for all items? If yes then that means the probability of getting black devils mask, heroic backpack, transformation scrolls, blush and all the rest are 4%. So it is very likely that for every 25 boxes you buy, you will have each of all the 25 items. Although that may not happen due to some good or bad luck but it won't be that far off. For example, it will quite impossible to get 5 or 6 scrolls( same type ) for every 25 boxes, even 3 will tough. Heim says he tried and it was 'random random' so I am guessing he meant the probability is constant for all items.
Now for the scary part, the probabilities are not constant. That means that some items are harder to get than others, for example 1% chance on getting black devils mask or handkerchief in mouth and 8% for transformation scrolls and imp hat. If that's the case then the items should/must be classified into S,A, B or C class. Only then buyers know that it's not so easy to get good items and there will be less complaints because they are warned about the low chances. From what I see so far in forum, the probability don't seem constant to me. Every reduce or increase of percentage of even 1% will make a huge change in the item you're getting due to the big pool of items. Also in this situation boxter won't help much. Chances are you will get another trash.
So what's your opinion?
Edited by kingjoe547, 13 June 2012 - 10:31 PM.
